11/8/2022 0 Comments Rays vs white sox play by playSimilarly, Cincinnati ranks 21st against lefties and 26th vs. Chicago ranks 17th against righties and 22nd against lefties. Projection systems aren’t particularly fond of the 26-year-old righty, pegging him for a rest-of-season FIP projection between 5.2 and 5.83.Ĭonversely, Wade Miley has excelled through four starts this season (3.68 圎RA, 4.51 xFIP, 4.82 SIERA) and carries far more optimistic FIP projections (range 4.01-4.49).īoth teams are in their superior offensive split for this matchup. Sean Zerillo: Justin Dunn (4.63 ERA, 6.46 圎RA, 5.10 xFIP) has struggled mightily at the MLB level, posting a career 5.87 xFIP through 30 starts over four seasons between Seattle and Cincinnati. Since their moneyline is beyond -150, take the run line while it’s in a pretty nice plus-money situation. However, the Rays still seem to have a considerable edge in Tuesday night’s match up. So there seems to be mixed signals around the run line. Tracking line movement overnight, the Rays were +140 on DraftKings, but moved to +135 by the morning. While the line movement has shifted in some books from the +120 range to a seeming consensus of +135, this could be a really good reward for some risk. Pair this with a shaky Sox bullpen and it seems the best value of the night is the Rays’ run line. The Red Sox offense has been above average against RHP on the road this season, but the main reason to back the Rays’ run line is because Red Sox starter, Rich Hill, does not work deep into games very often and the Red Sox bullpen has been a very bad unit as of late.Īlthough Hill is pitching in his stronger split, the Rays have been one of the better home offenses against LHP over the past month. While expecting that kind of length out of Rasmussen is unwise, it is wise to back someone with a 1.97 ERA and a 2.58 FIP at home this season. That became much more evident when he took a perfect game into the ninth inning during his August 14th start at home against the Baltimore Orioles. Jules Posner: Drew Rasmussen has been one of the best home pitchers this season.
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